I recently became curious about the accuracy of this tradition. If a groundhog’s shadow can actually predict the weather, I wanted to know why. I came to find out that the accuracy is horrible - at least for Punxsutawny Phil, who is probably the most famous of the many groundhogs that are watched on Groundhog Day. I read he was at 39%. Um, okay, so he’s actually worse than random chance. In fact, based on those statistics, I would say maybe we should revise the whole thing and say that if he sees his shadow, we’re in for an early spring. Right?
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